Russia Talks About Forming RIC Alliance With India and China: Is It Feasible

International News: Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov recently made a significant statement saying that India, China, and Russia can together form a "triad," i.e., the RIC (Russia-India-China) Alliance. His message is clear: the three major Asian countries can unite to challenge the dominance of America and Western countries. However, the question remains whether this is mere rhetoric or a solid strategic plan. Can India really align itself with an unreliable neighbor like China?

If Russia, India, and China form a strategic alliance, it could definitely affect the global balance. Together, these three countries have the capability to challenge Western powers, especially the US and NATO, on economic, military, and diplomatic fronts. China’s massive economy, Russia’s military strength, and India’s strategic location could combine to create a powerful bloc. But this remains a possibility only; in reality, many factors make it difficult to materialize.

Russia's Intentions and the Connection to the Ukraine War

Russia is currently under pressure from Western countries due to the Ukraine war. The military and economic aid provided by the US and the European Union has intensified this pressure. In such a situation, Russia aims to create a new pole in Asia that not only balances US influence but also offers Russia alternative strategic support. Its effort to bring India and China together is part of this strategy. This could be seen as Asian unity, but the real purpose is to counter the West.

India's Foreign Policy and the 'India First' Doctrine

India's current foreign policy is guided by the principle of 'India First.' India joins any military or political alliance only when its national interests are fully protected. India is a member of QUAD (along with the US, Japan, and Australia), which serves as a major platform to balance China's influence. In this context, joining any triumvirate with China would create a policy contradiction for India.

China's History and India's Concerns

China’s relations with India have always been tense, with conflicts like Doklam and Galwan. China provides military support to Pakistan and repeatedly claims Arunachal Pradesh as its own. Given this, it would be difficult for India to become part of any 'deep strategic alliance' with China. The idea of the RIC is not new but has repeatedly been shelved due to China’s actions.

Cohesion vs. Alliance in Diplomacy

India aims to strengthen bilateral relations with both Russia and China but does not want to be part of any alliance opposing a third country. India's policy is to make independent decisions and avoid joining military blocs. India collaborates with China and Russia in forums like BRICS and SCO, which focus on "multilateral cooperation," not "alliances."

Can India Become Part of RIC?

At present, Russia’s proposal appears more like political pressure and signal politics. India’s priority is to maintain global balance and protect its interests, not to enter into a one-sided alliance with an aggressive country like China. Until a foundation of trust is established between India and China, it will be not only difficult but almost impossible for India to join such a trio.